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Home Team Advantage in English Premier League
| Citace: |
MAREK, P., VÁVRA, F. Home Team Advantage in English Premier League. Padova, Itálie, 2017.
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| Druh: | PŘEDNÁŠKA, POSTER |
| Jazyk publikace: | eng |
| Anglický název: | Home Team Advantage in English Premier League |
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Místo konání: | Padova, Itálie |
| Autoři: | Ing. Patrice Marek Ph.D. , Doc. Ing. František Vávra CSc. , |
| Abstrakt EN: | The home team advantage in association football is a well known phenomenon. The aim of this study is to offer a different view on the home team advantage. Usually, in association football, each two teams ? team A and team B ? play twice in a season. Once as a home team and once as a visiting team. This offers two results between teams A and B which are combined together to evaluate whether the team A against its opponent B recorded a result at the home field ? in comparison to the away field ? that is better, even, or worse. This leads to a random variable with three possible outcomes, i.e. trinomial distribution. Combination and comparison of home and away results of the same two teams is the key to eliminate problems with different strength of teams in the league. Using a uniform distribution as a prior we obtain a Dirichlet distribution as a posterior. This is later used to determine point and interval estimates of unknown parameters of the source trinomial distribution, i.e. the probability that the result at home will be better, even, or worse. Moreover, it is possible to test a hypothesis that the home team advantage for a selected team is statistically significant. This approach can be used to construct a measure of the home team advantage for a single team. Described procedure is demonstrated on English Premier League results from the 1992/1993 season to the 2015/2016 season. |
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